Polymarket has Team Vision at 57.5% to win The International 2026
A single-team outright trading above even money is unusual, and the book is turning over its whole order book almost three times a day.
Where the price sits
Polymarket's market on whether TEAM VISION win The International 2026 is trading with the Yes side at an implied 57.5% and No at 42.5%. In decimal terms that is roughly 1.74 on Yes and 2.35 on No.
The two sides sum to exactly 100%, so there is no visible margin baked into the quoted prices — the numbers can be read as a clean probability rather than a bookmaker's price with a hold built in. That is a structural feature of these markets rather than a signal about the teams involved.
What the size tells you
Twenty-four-hour volume is $395,323 against $139,146 of resting liquidity. That is a turnover ratio of about 2.8 to 1: the equivalent of the entire book changing hands nearly three times in a day.
That combination matters more than either figure alone. Liquidity in the low six figures means a size order will move the price; volume at nearly three times that depth means orders are arriving fast enough to refill it. For a reader watching the price, it implies the 57.5% mark is being actively contested rather than sitting stale on a thin book.
Reading a favourite above even money
An outright market where a single named team is priced above 50% is worth flagging simply because it is uncommon. Tournament outrights normally spread probability across a field, and a 57.5% quote means the market is assigning more likelihood to one specific result than to every other outcome combined.
What the data here does not show is the shape of the rest of the field, the price history, or how the market moved to get to 57.5%. This is a single snapshot of one binary. Anyone tracking it should watch whether liquidity deepens as the event approaches; markets this active on this little depth can reprice sharply on modest flow.
